Atlanta Braves vs Colorado Rockies
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Mauricio Dubón CF
- 2 Drake Baldwin DH
- 3 Ozzie Albies 2B
- 4 Matt Olson 1B
- 5 Austin Riley 3B
- 6 Eli White LF
- 7 Jonah Heim C
- 8 Jorge Mateo SS
- 9 José Azocar RF
- 1 Edouard Julien 2B
- 2 Mickey Moniak LF
- 3 Hunter Goodman DH
- 4 TJ Rumfield 1B
- 5 Troy Johnston RF
- 6 Willi Castro 3B
- 7 Brett Sullivan C
- 8 Ezequiel Tovar SS
- 9 Jake McCarthy CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 |
| COL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 3-0 with ATL listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.07 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.73 vs actual lineup 4.66
- Player execution +6.34 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.66 projection by 6.34 (scored 11)
- Game variance +6.27 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Heim HR from the 7-hole
- Manager lineup cost +0.12 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.76 vs actual lineup 4.63
- Player execution +1.37 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.63 projection by 1.37 (scored 6)
- Game variance +1.24 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Julien 0-for-4 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 4.7 – 4.8 — actual was 11 – 6.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.