Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Trea Turner SS
- 2 Kyle Schwarber DH
- 3 Bryce Harper 1B
- 4 Adolis García CF
- 5 Bryson Stott 2B
- 6 Alec Bohm 3B
- 7 J.T. Realmuto C
- 8 Garrett Stubbs LF
- 9 Felix Reyes RF
- 1 Jakob Marsee CF
- 2 Kyle Stowers RF
- 3 Otto Lopez SS
- 4 Xavier Edwards 2B
- 5 Liam Hicks C
- 6 Agustín Ramírez DH
- 7 Connor Norby 1B
- 8 Graham Pauley 3B
- 9 Esteury Ruiz LF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| MIA | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / C+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 3-1 with PHI listed first across 4 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.08 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.22 vs actual lineup 3.14
- Player execution −3.14 R/G Players fell 3.14 short of the lineup's 3.14 projection (scored 0)
- Game variance −3.22 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Turner 0-for-4 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost +0.10 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.81 vs actual lineup 4.72
- Player execution −0.72 R/G Players fell 0.72 short of the lineup's 4.72 projection (scored 4)
- Game variance −0.81 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Marsee 0-for-3 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 3.2 – 4.8 — actual was 0 – 4.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.