Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Taylor Ward LF
- 2 Gunnar Henderson SS
- 3 Adley Rutschman C
- 4 Pete Alonso DH
- 5 Tyler O'Neill RF
- 6 Coby Mayo 1B
- 7 Jeremiah Jackson 2B
- 8 Weston Wilson 3B
- 9 Blaze Alexander CF
- 1 Trent Grisham CF
- 2 Ben Rice 1B
- 3 Aaron Judge RF
- 4 Cody Bellinger LF
- 5 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
- 6 Jasson Domínguez DH
- 7 J.C. Escarra C
- 8 Ryan McMahon 3B
- 9 José Caballero SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| NYY | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / C+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 0-4 with BAL listed first across 4 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.64 vs actual lineup 3.67
- Player execution +0.33 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.67 projection by 0.33 (scored 4)
- Game variance +0.36 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Rutschman 0-for-4 batting 3rd
- Manager lineup cost −0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 5.00 vs actual lineup 5.03
- Player execution +3.97 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 5.03 projection by 3.97 (scored 9)
- Game variance +4.00 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Judge 0-for-3 batting 3rd
Optimal lineups projected 3.6 – 5.0 — actual was 4 – 9.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.