San Francisco Giants vs Tampa Bay Rays
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Jung Hoo Lee RF
- 2 Luis Arraez 2B
- 3 Casey Schmitt DH
- 4 Rafael Devers 1B
- 5 Matt Chapman 3B
- 6 Willy Adames SS
- 7 Heliot Ramos LF
- 8 Drew Gilbert CF
- 9 Patrick Bailey C
- 1 Chandler Simpson LF
- 2 Cedric Mullins CF
- 3 Junior Caminero 3B
- 4 Jonathan Aranda 1B
- 5 Jake Fraley DH
- 6 Richie Palacios 2B
- 7 Jonny DeLuca RF
- 8 Hunter Feduccia C
- 9 Taylor Walls SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| TB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B- / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 0-3 with SF listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.07 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.51 vs actual lineup 3.44
- Player execution −2.44 R/G Players fell 2.44 short of the lineup's 3.44 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −2.51 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lee 0-for-4 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost +0.14 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.47 vs actual lineup 3.34
- Player execution +1.66 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.34 projection by 1.66 (scored 5)
- Game variance +1.53 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
DeLuca 2-for-4 from the 7-hole
Optimal lineups projected 3.5 – 3.5 — actual was 1 – 5.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.