Atlanta Braves vs Colorado Rockies
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Ronald Acuña Jr. RF
- 2 Drake Baldwin C
- 3 Ozzie Albies 2B
- 4 Matt Olson 1B
- 5 Michael Harris II DH
- 6 Mauricio Dubón CF
- 7 Austin Riley 3B
- 8 Mike Yastrzemski LF
- 9 Jorge Mateo SS
- 1 Jordan Beck LF
- 2 Brenton Doyle CF
- 3 TJ Rumfield 1B
- 4 Hunter Goodman C
- 5 Willi Castro 2B
- 6 Brett Sullivan DH
- 7 Kyle Karros 3B
- 8 Ezequiel Tovar SS
- 9 Troy Johnston RF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
| COL | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 3-0 with ATL listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.05 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.45 vs actual lineup 3.39
- Player execution +5.61 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.39 projection by 5.61 (scored 9)
- Game variance +5.55 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Riley HR from the 7-hole
- Manager lineup cost −0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.68 vs actual lineup 2.71
- Player execution −1.71 R/G Players fell 1.71 short of the lineup's 2.71 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −1.68 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Doyle 0-for-4 batting 2nd
Optimal lineups projected 3.5 – 2.7 — actual was 9 – 1.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.