Texas Rangers vs Detroit Tigers
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Brandon Nimmo RF
- 2 Evan Carter CF
- 3 Corey Seager SS
- 4 Josh Jung 3B
- 5 Joc Pederson DH
- 6 Jake Burger 1B
- 7 Alejandro Osuna LF
- 8 Ezequiel Duran 2B
- 9 Danny Jansen C
- 1 Gleyber Torres 2B
- 2 Kevin McGonigle SS
- 3 Jahmai Jones LF
- 4 Dillon Dingler C
- 5 Riley Greene DH
- 6 Matt Vierling CF
- 7 Spencer Torkelson 1B
- 8 Wenceel Pérez RF
- 9 Hao-Yu Lee 3B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| DET | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B- / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-2 with TEX listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.76 vs actual lineup 4.73
- Player execution +0.27 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.73 projection by 0.27 (scored 5)
- Game variance +0.24 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Jansen HR from the 9-hole
- Manager lineup cost −0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.44 vs actual lineup 4.48
- Player execution −0.48 R/G Players fell 0.48 short of the lineup's 4.48 projection (scored 4)
- Game variance −0.44 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Torres 0-for-4 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 4.8 – 4.4 — actual was 5 – 4.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.