Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Gunnar Henderson SS
- 2 Taylor Ward LF
- 3 Adley Rutschman DH
- 4 Pete Alonso 1B
- 5 Samuel Basallo C
- 6 Dylan Beavers RF
- 7 Leody Taveras CF
- 8 Coby Mayo 3B
- 9 Blaze Alexander 2B
- 1 Paul Goldschmidt 1B
- 2 Ben Rice DH
- 3 Aaron Judge RF
- 4 Cody Bellinger LF
- 5 Amed Rosario 3B
- 6 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
- 7 José Caballero SS
- 8 Austin Wells C
- 9 Trent Grisham CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| NYY | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / C+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 0-4 with BAL listed first across 4 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.90 vs actual lineup 2.86
- Player execution −0.86 R/G Players fell 0.86 short of the lineup's 2.86 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −0.90 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Henderson 0-for-4 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost −0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.24 vs actual lineup 4.27
- Player execution +2.73 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.27 projection by 2.73 (scored 7)
- Game variance +2.76 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Caballero HR from the 7-hole
Optimal lineups projected 2.9 – 4.2 — actual was 2 – 7.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.