New York Mets vs Los Angeles Angels
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Bo Bichette 3B
- 2 Juan Soto LF
- 3 MJ Melendez DH
- 4 Francisco Alvarez C
- 5 Brett Baty 1B
- 6 Marcus Semien 2B
- 7 Carson Benge RF
- 8 Tyrone Taylor CF
- 9 Ronny Mauricio SS
- 1 Zach Neto SS
- 2 Mike Trout CF
- 3 Yoán Moncada 3B
- 4 Jorge Soler DH
- 5 Nolan Schanuel 1B
- 6 Jo Adell RF
- 7 Josh Lowe LF
- 8 Travis d'Arnaud C
- 9 Adam Frazier 2B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| LAA | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade D+ / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-1 with NYM listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.88 vs actual lineup 3.89
- Player execution +0.11 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.89 projection by 0.11 (scored 4)
- Game variance +0.12 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Mauricio HR from the 9-hole
- Manager lineup cost −0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.97 vs actual lineup 3.99
- Player execution −0.99 R/G Players fell 0.99 short of the lineup's 3.99 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −0.97 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Neto 0-for-3 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 3.9 – 4.0 — actual was 4 – 3.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.