Los Angeles Dodgers vs St. Louis Cardinals
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Shohei Ohtani DH
- 2 Freddie Freeman 1B
- 3 Will Smith C
- 4 Teoscar Hernández LF
- 5 Kyle Tucker RF
- 6 Andy Pages CF
- 7 Max Muncy 3B
- 8 Miguel Rojas SS
- 9 Santiago Espinal 2B
- 1 JJ Wetherholt 2B
- 2 Iván Herrera DH
- 3 Alec Burleson 1B
- 4 Jordan Walker RF
- 5 Nolan Gorman 3B
- 6 Masyn Winn SS
- 7 Nathan Church LF
- 8 Pedro Pagés C
- 9 Victor Scott CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| STL | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-2 with LAD listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.10 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.19 vs actual lineup 4.29
- Player execution −2.29 R/G Players fell 2.29 short of the lineup's 4.29 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −2.19 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Ohtani 0-for-5 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost −0.08 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.81 vs actual lineup 4.89
- Player execution +2.11 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.89 projection by 2.11 (scored 7)
- Game variance +2.19 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Wetherholt 0-for-5 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 4.2 – 4.8 — actual was 2 – 7.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.