Atlanta Braves vs Colorado Rockies
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Ronald Acuña Jr. RF
- 2 Drake Baldwin DH
- 3 Ozzie Albies 2B
- 4 Matt Olson 1B
- 5 Mauricio Dubón CF
- 6 Austin Riley 3B
- 7 Eli White LF
- 8 Jonah Heim C
- 9 Jorge Mateo SS
- 1 Edouard Julien 2B
- 2 Mickey Moniak LF
- 3 Hunter Goodman C
- 4 TJ Rumfield 1B
- 5 Tyler Freeman RF
- 6 Troy Johnston DH
- 7 Willi Castro 3B
- 8 Ezequiel Tovar SS
- 9 Jake McCarthy CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| COL | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 3-0 with ATL listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.12 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.20 vs actual lineup 4.08
- Player execution +3.92 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.08 projection by 3.92 (scored 8)
- Game variance +3.80 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Baldwin 0-for-4 batting 2nd
- Manager lineup cost +0.06 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.01 vs actual lineup 3.95
- Player execution +2.05 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.95 projection by 2.05 (scored 6)
- Game variance +1.99 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Julien 0-for-4 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 4.2 – 4.0 — actual was 8 – 6.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.