Washington Nationals vs New York Mets
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 James Wood RF
- 2 Luis García 1B
- 3 Daylen Lile LF
- 4 CJ Abrams SS
- 5 José Tena DH
- 6 Jorbit Vivas 3B
- 7 Nasim Nuñez 2B
- 8 Drew Millas C
- 9 Jacob Young CF
- 1 Bo Bichette 3B
- 2 Juan Soto DH
- 3 MJ Melendez LF
- 4 Mark Vientos 1B
- 5 Brett Baty RF
- 6 Marcus Semien 2B
- 7 Carson Benge CF
- 8 Luis Torrens C
- 9 Ronny Mauricio SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| NYM | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / D+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-1 with WSH listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.07 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.85 vs actual lineup 3.78
- Player execution +1.22 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.78 projection by 1.22 (scored 5)
- Game variance +1.15 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Wood 0-for-3 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost +0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.92 vs actual lineup 4.91
- Player execution −0.91 R/G Players fell 0.91 short of the lineup's 4.91 projection (scored 4)
- Game variance −0.92 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Bichette 0-for-3 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 3.9 – 4.9 — actual was 5 – 4.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.