San Francisco Giants vs Philadelphia Phillies
Starting pitchers
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| PHI | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B- / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-3 with SF listed first across 5 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.79 vs actual lineup 3.81
- Player execution +1.19 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.81 projection by 1.19 (scored 5)
- Game variance +1.21 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Chapman 0-for-4 batting 2nd
- Manager lineup cost +0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.91 vs actual lineup 4.89
- Player execution −4.89 R/G Players fell 4.89 short of the lineup's 4.89 projection (scored 0)
- Game variance −4.91 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
Optimal lineups projected 3.8 – 4.9 — actual was 5 – 0.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.