Detroit Tigers vs Atlanta Braves
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Kevin McGonigle SS
- 2 Gleyber Torres 2B
- 3 Colt Keith 3B
- 4 Riley Greene LF
- 5 Dillon Dingler C
- 6 Kerry Carpenter RF
- 7 Spencer Torkelson 1B
- 8 Wenceel Pérez CF
- 9 Jace Jung DH
- 1 Ronald Acuña Jr. RF
- 2 Drake Baldwin DH
- 3 Ozzie Albies 2B
- 4 Matt Olson 1B
- 5 Austin Riley 3B
- 6 Mauricio Dubón SS
- 7 Michael Harris II CF
- 8 Eli White LF
- 9 Jonah Heim C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| ATL | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / C+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-2 with DET listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.23 vs actual lineup 3.19
- Player execution −0.19 R/G Players fell 0.19 short of the lineup's 3.19 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −0.23 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Torres 0-for-3 batting 2nd
- Manager lineup cost −0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.18 vs actual lineup 3.20
- Player execution +0.80 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.20 projection by 0.80 (scored 4)
- Game variance +0.82 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Jr. 0-for-3 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 3.2 – 3.2 — actual was 3 – 4.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.