Miami Marlins vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Jakob Marsee CF
- 2 Kyle Stowers DH
- 3 Otto Lopez SS
- 4 Xavier Edwards 2B
- 5 Liam Hicks C
- 6 Connor Norby 1B
- 7 Owen Caissie RF
- 8 Graham Pauley 3B
- 9 Esteury Ruiz LF
- 1 Shohei Ohtani DH
- 2 Freddie Freeman 1B
- 3 Andy Pages CF
- 4 Kyle Tucker RF
- 5 Max Muncy 3B
- 6 Dalton Rushing C
- 7 Hyeseong Kim SS
- 8 Alex Call LF
- 9 Alex Freeland 2B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| LAD | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / B entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-1 with MIA listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.00 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.16 vs actual lineup 3.16
- Player execution −0.16 R/G Players fell 0.16 short of the lineup's 3.16 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −0.16 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Ruiz HR from the 9-hole
- Manager lineup cost −0.05 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.69 vs actual lineup 3.74
- Player execution −1.74 R/G Players fell 1.74 short of the lineup's 3.74 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −1.69 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Freeman 0-for-5 batting 2nd
Optimal lineups projected 3.2 – 3.7 — actual was 3 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.