Seattle Mariners vs Minnesota Twins
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 J.P. Crawford SS
- 2 Cal Raleigh C
- 3 Julio Rodríguez CF
- 4 Josh Naylor 1B
- 5 Randy Arozarena LF
- 6 Luke Raley RF
- 7 Dominic Canzone DH
- 8 Cole Young 2B
- 9 Will Wilson 3B
- 1 Byron Buxton CF
- 2 Trevor Larnach LF
- 3 Josh Bell DH
- 4 Ryan Jeffers C
- 5 Kody Clemens 1B
- 6 Luke Keaschall 2B
- 7 Matt Wallner RF
- 8 Brooks Lee SS
- 9 Royce Lewis 3B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
| MIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B- / B entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-1 with SEA listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.06 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.20 vs actual lineup 3.25
- Player execution +1.75 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.25 projection by 1.75 (scored 5)
- Game variance +1.80 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Raleigh 0-for-3 batting 2nd
- Manager lineup cost +0.07 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.14 vs actual lineup 3.08
- Player execution −0.08 R/G Players fell 0.08 short of the lineup's 3.08 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −0.14 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Bell 0-for-5 batting 3rd
Optimal lineups projected 3.2 – 3.1 — actual was 5 – 3.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.