Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Geraldo Perdomo SS
- 2 Ketel Marte 2B
- 3 Corbin Carroll RF
- 4 Adrian Del Castillo C
- 5 Ildemaro Vargas 1B
- 6 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF
- 7 Nolan Arenado 3B
- 8 Jose Fernandez DH
- 9 Alek Thomas CF
- 1 Brandon Lockridge LF
- 2 Brice Turang 2B
- 3 William Contreras C
- 4 Jake Bauers 1B
- 5 Gary Sánchez DH
- 6 Luis Rengifo 3B
- 7 Greg Jones RF
- 8 Blake Perkins CF
- 9 Joey Ortiz SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| MIL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-2 with AZ listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.06 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.79 vs actual lineup 4.85
- Player execution +1.15 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.85 projection by 1.15 (scored 6)
- Game variance +1.21 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Arenado HR from the 7-hole
- Manager lineup cost −0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.38 vs actual lineup 3.39
- Player execution −1.39 R/G Players fell 1.39 short of the lineup's 3.39 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −1.38 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Contreras 0-for-4 batting 3rd
Optimal lineups projected 4.8 – 3.4 — actual was 6 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.