New York Yankees vs Texas Rangers
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Trent Grisham CF
- 2 Ben Rice 1B
- 3 Aaron Judge RF
- 4 Cody Bellinger LF
- 5 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
- 6 Jasson Domínguez DH
- 7 Austin Wells C
- 8 Ryan McMahon 3B
- 9 José Caballero SS
- 1 Brandon Nimmo RF
- 2 Josh Jung 3B
- 3 Corey Seager SS
- 4 Joc Pederson DH
- 5 Jake Burger 1B
- 6 Evan Carter CF
- 7 Josh Smith 2B
- 8 Alejandro Osuna LF
- 9 Danny Jansen C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYY | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| TEX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 4-2 with NYY listed first across 6 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.06 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.97 vs actual lineup 3.03
- Player execution −0.03 R/G Players fell 0.03 short of the lineup's 3.03 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance +0.03 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Wells HR from the 7-hole
- Manager lineup cost −0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.37 vs actual lineup 2.41
- Player execution −0.41 R/G Players fell 0.41 short of the lineup's 2.41 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −0.37 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Pederson 0-for-4 batting 4th
Optimal lineups projected 3.0 – 2.4 — actual was 3 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.