Detroit Tigers vs Atlanta Braves
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Jahmai Jones DH
- 2 Gleyber Torres 2B
- 3 Kevin McGonigle SS
- 4 Matt Vierling RF
- 5 Dillon Dingler C
- 6 Riley Greene LF
- 7 Spencer Torkelson 1B
- 8 Hao-Yu Lee 3B
- 9 Javier Báez CF
- 1 Ronald Acuña Jr. RF
- 2 Drake Baldwin C
- 3 Matt Olson 1B
- 4 Ozzie Albies 2B
- 5 Michael Harris II CF
- 6 Austin Riley 3B
- 7 Dominic Smith DH
- 8 Mauricio Dubón SS
- 9 Mike Yastrzemski LF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| ATL | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / C+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-2 with DET listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.82 vs actual lineup 2.80
- Player execution −0.80 R/G Players fell 0.80 short of the lineup's 2.80 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −0.82 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Pérez HR from the 9-hole
- Manager lineup cost −0.05 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.41 vs actual lineup 2.45
- Player execution +2.55 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 2.45 projection by 2.55 (scored 5)
- Game variance +2.59 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Baldwin 0-for-4 batting 2nd
Optimal lineups projected 2.8 – 2.4 — actual was 2 – 5.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.