Washington Nationals vs New York Mets
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 James Wood RF
- 2 Luis García 1B
- 3 Brady House DH
- 4 CJ Abrams SS
- 5 Daylen Lile LF
- 6 Jacob Young CF
- 7 Jorbit Vivas 3B
- 8 Drew Millas C
- 9 Nasim Nuñez 2B
- 1 Bo Bichette 3B
- 2 Juan Soto DH
- 3 Francisco Alvarez C
- 4 MJ Melendez LF
- 5 Mark Vientos 1B
- 6 Brett Baty RF
- 7 Marcus Semien 2B
- 8 Carson Benge CF
- 9 Ronny Mauricio SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| NYM | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / D+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-1 with WSH listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.43 vs actual lineup 2.40
- Player execution −2.40 R/G Players fell 2.40 short of the lineup's 2.40 projection (scored 0)
- Game variance −2.43 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Wood 0-for-3 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost +0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.96 vs actual lineup 4.93
- Player execution +3.07 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.93 projection by 3.07 (scored 8)
- Game variance +3.04 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Alvarez 0-for-4 batting 3rd
Optimal lineups projected 2.4 – 5.0 — actual was 0 – 8.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.