New York Yankees vs Texas Rangers
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Trent Grisham CF
- 2 Ben Rice 1B
- 3 Aaron Judge RF
- 4 Cody Bellinger LF
- 5 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
- 6 Jasson Domínguez DH
- 7 Austin Wells C
- 8 Ryan McMahon 3B
- 9 José Caballero SS
- 1 Brandon Nimmo RF
- 2 Josh Jung 3B
- 3 Corey Seager SS
- 4 Jake Burger 1B
- 5 Andrew McCutchen DH
- 6 Kyle Higashioka C
- 7 Sam Haggerty LF
- 8 Evan Carter CF
- 9 Ezequiel Duran 2B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYY | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| TEX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 4-2 with NYY listed first across 6 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 5.01 vs actual lineup 5.05
- Player execution −1.05 R/G Players fell 1.05 short of the lineup's 5.05 projection (scored 4)
- Game variance −1.01 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Bellinger 0-for-4 batting 4th
- Manager lineup cost +0.08 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.77 vs actual lineup 2.69
- Player execution −0.69 R/G Players fell 0.69 short of the lineup's 2.69 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −0.77 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Seager 0-for-4 batting 3rd
Optimal lineups projected 5.0 – 2.8 — actual was 4 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.