Tampa Bay Rays vs Cleveland Guardians
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Yandy Díaz DH
- 2 Jonathan Aranda 1B
- 3 Junior Caminero 3B
- 4 Ryan Vilade RF
- 5 Jonny DeLuca CF
- 6 Chandler Simpson LF
- 7 Ben Williamson 2B
- 8 Nick Fortes C
- 9 Taylor Walls SS
- 1 Steven Kwan CF
- 2 Angel Martínez LF
- 3 José Ramírez 3B
- 4 Rhys Hoskins 1B
- 5 Chase DeLauter RF
- 6 David Fry DH
- 7 Daniel Schneemann 2B
- 8 Austin Hedges C
- 9 Brayan Rocchio SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| CLE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B- / C+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-1 with TB listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.74 vs actual lineup 2.71
- Player execution +0.29 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 2.71 projection by 0.29 (scored 3)
- Game variance +0.26 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Díaz 0-for-3 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost +0.00 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.00 vs actual lineup 4.00
- Player execution −2.00 R/G Players fell 2.00 short of the lineup's 4.00 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −2.00 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Schneemann HR from the 7-hole
Optimal lineups projected 2.7 – 4.0 — actual was 3 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.