Colorado Rockies vs New York Mets
Starting pitchers
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| NYM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / D+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 4-2 with COL listed first across 8 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.36 vs actual lineup 2.38
- Player execution +0.62 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 2.38 projection by 0.62 (scored 3)
- Game variance +0.64 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Freeman 0-for-3 batting 4th
- Manager lineup cost −0.05 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.85 vs actual lineup 2.91
- Player execution −2.91 R/G Players fell 2.91 short of the lineup's 2.91 projection (scored 0)
- Game variance −2.85 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Bichette 0-for-4 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 2.4 – 2.9 — actual was 3 – 0.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.