Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Jake Mangum LF
- 2 Nick Gonzales 2B
- 3 Bryan Reynolds RF
- 4 Marcell Ozuna DH
- 5 Ryan O'Hearn 1B
- 6 Nick Yorke 3B
- 7 Konnor Griffin SS
- 8 Joey Bart C
- 9 Billy Cook CF
- 1 Brice Turang 2B
- 2 William Contreras C
- 3 Jake Bauers 1B
- 4 Gary Sánchez DH
- 5 Garrett Mitchell CF
- 6 Sal Frelick RF
- 7 Luis Rengifo 3B
- 8 David Hamilton SS
- 9 Brandon Lockridge LF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| MIL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-1 with PIT listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.05 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.82 vs actual lineup 2.77
- Player execution −2.77 R/G Players fell 2.77 short of the lineup's 2.77 projection (scored 0)
- Game variance −2.82 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Mangum 0-for-4 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost −0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.96 vs actual lineup 3.98
- Player execution +1.02 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.98 projection by 1.02 (scored 5)
- Game variance +1.04 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Turang 0-for-4 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 2.8 – 4.0 — actual was 0 – 5.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.