Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue Jays
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Steven Kwan CF
- 2 Angel Martínez LF
- 3 José Ramírez DH
- 4 Rhys Hoskins 1B
- 5 David Fry RF
- 6 Daniel Schneemann 3B
- 7 Juan Brito 2B
- 8 Austin Hedges C
- 9 Brayan Rocchio SS
- 1 Ernie Clement SS
- 2 Daulton Varsho CF
- 3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. DH
- 4 Jesús Sánchez RF
- 5 Kazuma Okamoto 3B
- 6 Lenyn Sosa 1B
- 7 Yohendrick Piñango LF
- 8 Davis Schneider 2B
- 9 Brandon Valenzuela C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| TOR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / B entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-2 with CLE listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.80 vs actual lineup 3.79
- Player execution −1.79 R/G Players fell 1.79 short of the lineup's 3.79 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −1.80 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Ramírez 0-for-3 batting 3rd
- Manager lineup cost −0.08 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.61 vs actual lineup 4.69
- Player execution −0.69 R/G Players fell 0.69 short of the lineup's 4.69 projection (scored 4)
- Game variance −0.61 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Varsho 0-for-3 batting 2nd
Optimal lineups projected 3.8 – 4.6 — actual was 2 – 4.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.