Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue Jays
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Angel Martínez CF
- 2 Chase DeLauter DH
- 3 José Ramírez 3B
- 4 Rhys Hoskins 1B
- 5 George Valera LF
- 6 David Fry RF
- 7 Juan Brito 2B
- 8 Bo Naylor C
- 9 Brayan Rocchio SS
- 1 Myles Straw RF
- 2 Ernie Clement 2B
- 3 Vladimir Guerrero 1B
- 4 Kazuma Okamoto 3B
- 5 Eloy Jiménez DH
- 6 Daulton Varsho CF
- 7 Davis Schneider LF
- 8 Andrés Giménez SS
- 9 Tyler Heineman C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| TOR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / B entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-2 with CLE listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.00 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.12 vs actual lineup 3.12
- Player execution −0.12 R/G Players fell 0.12 short of the lineup's 3.12 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −0.12 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
- Manager lineup cost +0.00 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.05 vs actual lineup 3.05
- Player execution +1.95 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.05 projection by 1.95 (scored 5)
- Game variance +1.95 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
Optimal lineups projected 3.1 – 3.0 — actual was 3 – 5.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.