Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Trea Turner SS
- 2 Kyle Schwarber DH
- 3 Bryce Harper 1B
- 4 Adolis García RF
- 5 Brandon Marsh LF
- 6 Bryson Stott 2B
- 7 Alec Bohm 3B
- 8 Justin Crawford CF
- 9 Garrett Stubbs C
- 1 Ronald Acuña Jr. RF
- 2 Drake Baldwin C
- 3 Matt Olson 1B
- 4 Ozzie Albies 2B
- 5 Austin Riley 3B
- 6 Dominic Smith DH
- 7 Mauricio Dubón SS
- 8 Mike Yastrzemski LF
- 9 Eli White CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| ATL | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / C+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-5 with PHI listed first across 6 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.89 vs actual lineup 3.92
- Player execution −0.92 R/G Players fell 0.92 short of the lineup's 3.92 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −0.89 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Schwarber 0-for-4 batting 2nd
- Manager lineup cost +0.06 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.85 vs actual lineup 4.79
- Player execution +0.21 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.79 projection by 0.21 (scored 5)
- Game variance +0.15 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Baldwin 0-for-5 batting 2nd
Optimal lineups projected 3.9 – 4.8 — actual was 3 – 5.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.