New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Amed Rosario 3B
- 2 Aaron Judge RF
- 3 Ben Rice 1B
- 4 Giancarlo Stanton DH
- 5 Randal Grichuk LF
- 6 Trent Grisham CF
- 7 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
- 8 José Caballero SS
- 9 Austin Wells C
- 1 Jarren Duran LF
- 2 Ceddanne Rafaela CF
- 3 Masataka Yoshida DH
- 4 Willson Contreras 1B
- 5 Wilyer Abreu RF
- 6 Trevor Story SS
- 7 Marcelo Mayer 2B
- 8 Caleb Durbin 3B
- 9 Carlos Narváez C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| BOS | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 3-0 with NYY listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.08 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.68 vs actual lineup 3.76
- Player execution +0.24 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.76 projection by 0.24 (scored 4)
- Game variance +0.32 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Jr. HR from the 7-hole
- Manager lineup cost +0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.42 vs actual lineup 2.38
- Player execution −0.38 R/G Players fell 0.38 short of the lineup's 2.38 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −0.42 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Narváez HR from the 9-hole
Optimal lineups projected 3.7 – 2.4 — actual was 4 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.