Pittsburgh Pirates vs Texas Rangers
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Oneil Cruz CF
- 2 Brandon Lowe 2B
- 3 Bryan Reynolds LF
- 4 Marcell Ozuna DH
- 5 Ryan O'Hearn RF
- 6 Nick Gonzales 3B
- 7 Spencer Horwitz 1B
- 8 Konnor Griffin SS
- 9 Joey Bart C
- 1 Brandon Nimmo RF
- 2 Joc Pederson DH
- 3 Corey Seager SS
- 4 Jake Burger 1B
- 5 Josh Jung 3B
- 6 Evan Carter CF
- 7 Danny Jansen C
- 8 Josh Smith 2B
- 9 Alejandro Osuna LF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| TEX | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-2 with PIT listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.09 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.85 vs actual lineup 2.75
- Player execution −1.75 R/G Players fell 1.75 short of the lineup's 2.75 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −1.85 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lowe 0-for-4 batting 2nd
- Manager lineup cost +0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.34 vs actual lineup 4.31
- Player execution +1.69 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.31 projection by 1.69 (scored 6)
- Game variance +1.66 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Burger 0-for-4 batting 4th
Optimal lineups projected 2.9 – 4.3 — actual was 1 – 6.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.