Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Shohei Ohtani DH
- 2 Freddie Freeman 1B
- 3 Teoscar Hernández LF
- 4 Kyle Tucker RF
- 5 Max Muncy 3B
- 6 Andy Pages CF
- 7 Dalton Rushing C
- 8 Hyeseong Kim SS
- 9 Alex Freeland 2B
- 1 Willy Adames SS
- 2 Luis Arraez 2B
- 3 Matt Chapman 3B
- 4 Rafael Devers 1B
- 5 Heliot Ramos LF
- 6 Jung Hoo Lee RF
- 7 Will Brennan DH
- 8 Drew Gilbert CF
- 9 Patrick Bailey C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| SF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-2 with LAD listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.17 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.55 vs actual lineup 4.72
- Player execution −1.72 R/G Players fell 1.72 short of the lineup's 4.72 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −1.55 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Ohtani 0-for-5 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost +0.00 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.15 vs actual lineup 3.15
- Player execution −3.15 R/G Players fell 3.15 short of the lineup's 3.15 projection (scored 0)
- Game variance −3.15 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Adames 0-for-4 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 4.5 – 3.1 — actual was 3 – 0.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.