Milwaukee Brewers vs Detroit Tigers
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Brandon Lockridge LF
- 2 Brice Turang 2B
- 3 William Contreras DH
- 4 Gary Sánchez C
- 5 Luis Matos RF
- 6 Blake Perkins CF
- 7 Luis Rengifo 1B
- 8 Joey Ortiz SS
- 9 David Hamilton 3B
- 1 Kevin McGonigle 3B
- 2 Gleyber Torres 2B
- 3 Colt Keith DH
- 4 Riley Greene LF
- 5 Dillon Dingler C
- 6 Kerry Carpenter RF
- 7 Spencer Torkelson 1B
- 8 Wenceel Pérez CF
- 9 Javier Báez SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| DET | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B- / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-2 with MIL listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.02 vs actual lineup 3.05
- Player execution +0.95 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.05 projection by 0.95 (scored 4)
- Game variance +0.98 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Turang 0-for-4 batting 2nd
- Manager lineup cost +0.13 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.92 vs actual lineup 4.79
- Player execution +0.21 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.79 projection by 0.21 (scored 5)
- Game variance +0.08 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Torkelson HR from the 7-hole
Optimal lineups projected 3.0 – 4.9 — actual was 4 – 5.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.