Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Ronald Acuña RF
- 2 Drake Baldwin C
- 3 Matt Olson 1B
- 4 Austin Riley 3B
- 5 Ozzie Albies 2B
- 6 Michael Harris CF
- 7 Dominic Smith DH
- 8 Mauricio Dubón SS
- 9 Mike Yastrzemski LF
- 1 James Wood RF
- 2 Luis García 1B
- 3 José Tena DH
- 4 CJ Abrams SS
- 5 Jacob Young CF
- 6 Daylen Lile LF
- 7 Nasim Nuñez 2B
- 8 Jorbit Vivas 3B
- 9 Keibert Ruiz C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
| WSH | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 3-1 with ATL listed first across 4 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.82 vs actual lineup 3.83
- Player execution +3.17 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.83 projection by 3.17 (scored 7)
- Game variance +3.18 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Smith 2-for-3 from the 7-hole
- Manager lineup cost +0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.77 vs actual lineup 2.76
- Player execution −0.76 R/G Players fell 0.76 short of the lineup's 2.76 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −0.77 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Tena 0-for-4 batting 3rd
Optimal lineups projected 3.8 – 2.8 — actual was 7 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.