Minnesota Twins vs New York Mets
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Byron Buxton CF
- 2 Trevor Larnach LF
- 3 Josh Bell DH
- 4 Victor Caratini C
- 5 Kody Clemens 1B
- 6 Luke Keaschall 2B
- 7 Matt Wallner RF
- 8 Royce Lewis 3B
- 9 Brooks Lee SS
- 1 Bo Bichette 3B
- 2 Juan Soto DH
- 3 Luis Robert CF
- 4 Francisco Lindor SS
- 5 Francisco Alvarez C
- 6 Mark Vientos 1B
- 7 Marcus Semien 2B
- 8 Tommy Pham LF
- 9 Tyrone Taylor RF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| NYM | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B / D+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-2 with MIN listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.42 vs actual lineup 2.46
- Player execution −0.46 R/G Players fell 0.46 short of the lineup's 2.46 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −0.42 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
- Manager lineup cost +0.05 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.93 vs actual lineup 3.88
- Player execution −0.88 R/G Players fell 0.88 short of the lineup's 3.88 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −0.93 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Jr. 0-for-4 batting 3rd
Optimal lineups projected 2.4 – 3.9 — actual was 2 – 3.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.