Pittsburgh Pirates vs Texas Rangers
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Oneil Cruz CF
- 2 Brandon Lowe 2B
- 3 Bryan Reynolds LF
- 4 Marcell Ozuna DH
- 5 Ryan O'Hearn RF
- 6 Nick Gonzales 3B
- 7 Spencer Horwitz 1B
- 8 Konnor Griffin SS
- 9 Henry Davis C
- 1 Brandon Nimmo RF
- 2 Corey Seager SS
- 3 Jake Burger 1B
- 4 Joc Pederson DH
- 5 Josh Jung 3B
- 6 Evan Carter CF
- 7 Kyle Higashioka C
- 8 Josh Smith 2B
- 9 Ezequiel Duran LF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 |
| TEX | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-2 with PIT listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.09 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.89 vs actual lineup 4.80
- Player execution +3.20 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.80 projection by 3.20 (scored 8)
- Game variance +3.11 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
- Manager lineup cost +0.06 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.83 vs actual lineup 3.77
- Player execution +0.23 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.77 projection by 0.23 (scored 4)
- Game variance +0.17 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Seager 0-for-4 batting 2nd
Optimal lineups projected 4.9 – 3.8 — actual was 8 – 4.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.