Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Ronald Acuña Jr. RF
- 2 Drake Baldwin DH
- 3 Matt Olson 1B
- 4 Austin Riley 3B
- 5 Ozzie Albies 2B
- 6 Michael Harris II CF
- 7 Mauricio Dubón SS
- 8 Mike Yastrzemski LF
- 9 Jonah Heim C
- 1 James Wood RF
- 2 Luis García Jr. 1B
- 3 Brady House 3B
- 4 CJ Abrams SS
- 5 Daylen Lile LF
- 6 Jacob Young CF
- 7 Jorbit Vivas 2B
- 8 José Tena DH
- 9 Keibert Ruiz C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| WSH | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 3-1 with ATL listed first across 4 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.85 vs actual lineup 4.87
- Player execution +3.13 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.87 projection by 3.13 (scored 8)
- Game variance +3.15 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Jr. 0-for-3 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost +0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.08 vs actual lineup 4.06
- Player execution +1.94 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.06 projection by 1.94 (scored 6)
- Game variance +1.92 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Wiemer HR from the 8-hole
Optimal lineups projected 4.8 – 4.1 — actual was 8 – 6.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.