Toronto Blue Jays vs Los Angeles Angels
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Nathan Lukes LF
- 2 Ernie Clement 2B
- 3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. DH
- 4 Jesús Sánchez RF
- 5 Lenyn Sosa 1B
- 6 Daulton Varsho CF
- 7 Kazuma Okamoto 3B
- 8 Andrés Giménez SS
- 9 Tyler Heineman C
- 1 Zach Neto SS
- 2 Mike Trout DH
- 3 Jo Adell LF
- 4 Jorge Soler RF
- 5 Oswald Peraza 3B
- 6 Nolan Schanuel 1B
- 7 Vaughn Grissom 2B
- 8 Logan O'Hoppe C
- 9 Bryce Teodosio CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| LAA | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 3-1 with TOR listed first across 4 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.34 vs actual lineup 2.35
- Player execution +0.65 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 2.35 projection by 0.65 (scored 3)
- Game variance +0.66 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Jr. 0-for-4 batting 3rd
- Manager lineup cost −0.05 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.68 vs actual lineup 4.73
- Player execution +2.27 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.73 projection by 2.27 (scored 7)
- Game variance +2.32 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
O'Hoppe 2-for-4 from the 8-hole
Optimal lineups projected 2.3 – 4.7 — actual was 3 – 7.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.