Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Carlos Correa SS
- 2 Yordan Alvarez DH
- 3 Jose Altuve 2B
- 4 Christian Walker 1B
- 5 Isaac Paredes 3B
- 6 Cam Smith RF
- 7 Daniel Johnson CF
- 8 Christian Vázquez C
- 9 Brice Matthews LF
- 1 Steven Kwan CF
- 2 Chase DeLauter RF
- 3 José Ramírez DH
- 4 Kyle Manzardo 1B
- 5 George Valera LF
- 6 Daniel Schneemann 3B
- 7 Juan Brito 2B
- 8 Bo Naylor C
- 9 Brayan Rocchio SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| CLE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade D+ / C+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-1 with HOU listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.10 vs actual lineup 4.07
- Player execution −2.07 R/G Players fell 2.07 short of the lineup's 4.07 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −2.10 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Altuve 0-for-4 batting 3rd
- Manager lineup cost +0.06 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.48 vs actual lineup 3.42
- Player execution −3.42 R/G Players fell 3.42 short of the lineup's 3.42 projection (scored 0)
- Game variance −3.48 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
Optimal lineups projected 4.1 – 3.5 — actual was 2 – 0.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.