Pittsburgh Pirates vs Texas Rangers
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Oneil Cruz CF
- 2 Ryan O'Hearn 1B
- 3 Bryan Reynolds LF
- 4 Marcell Ozuna DH
- 5 Nick Yorke 3B
- 6 Nick Gonzales 2B
- 7 Jake Mangum RF
- 8 Konnor Griffin SS
- 9 Henry Davis C
- 1 Brandon Nimmo RF
- 2 Wyatt Langford LF
- 3 Corey Seager SS
- 4 Jake Burger 1B
- 5 Joc Pederson DH
- 6 Josh Jung 3B
- 7 Evan Carter CF
- 8 Danny Jansen C
- 9 Josh Smith 2B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| TEX | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-2 with PIT listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.13 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.57 vs actual lineup 3.44
- Player execution −2.44 R/G Players fell 2.44 short of the lineup's 3.44 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −2.57 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Reynolds 0-for-3 batting 3rd
- Manager lineup cost +0.05 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.04 vs actual lineup 3.99
- Player execution +1.01 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.99 projection by 1.01 (scored 5)
- Game variance +0.96 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Nimmo 0-for-5 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 3.6 – 4.0 — actual was 1 – 5.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.