San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Ramón Laureano LF
- 2 Fernando Tatis Jr. RF
- 3 Jackson Merrill CF
- 4 Manny Machado 3B
- 5 Xander Bogaerts SS
- 6 Gavin Sheets 1B
- 7 Miguel Andujar DH
- 8 Freddy Fermin C
- 9 Jake Cronenworth 2B
- 1 Edouard Julien 2B
- 2 Mickey Moniak RF
- 3 Hunter Goodman C
- 4 TJ Rumfield DH
- 5 Troy Johnston 1B
- 6 Ezequiel Tovar SS
- 7 Kyle Karros 3B
- 8 Jordan Beck LF
- 9 Brenton Doyle CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| COL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 6-1 with SD listed first across 7 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.00 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.67 vs actual lineup 2.67
- Player execution −1.67 R/G Players fell 1.67 short of the lineup's 2.67 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −1.67 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Laureano 0-for-4 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost −0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.09 vs actual lineup 3.13
- Player execution −3.13 R/G Players fell 3.13 short of the lineup's 3.13 projection (scored 0)
- Game variance −3.09 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Rumfield 0-for-3 batting 4th
Optimal lineups projected 2.7 – 3.1 — actual was 1 – 0.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.