Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Shohei Ohtani DH
- 2 Kyle Tucker RF
- 3 Freddie Freeman 1B
- 4 Teoscar Hernández LF
- 5 Max Muncy 3B
- 6 Dalton Rushing C
- 7 Hyeseong Kim SS
- 8 Alex Call CF
- 9 Alex Freeland 2B
- 1 Willy Adames SS
- 2 Luis Arraez 2B
- 3 Matt Chapman 3B
- 4 Rafael Devers 1B
- 5 Casey Schmitt DH
- 6 Jung Hoo Lee RF
- 7 Heliot Ramos LF
- 8 Drew Gilbert CF
- 9 Patrick Bailey C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| SF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-2 with LAD listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.11 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.34 vs actual lineup 3.45
- Player execution −2.45 R/G Players fell 2.45 short of the lineup's 3.45 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −2.34 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Tucker 0-for-4 batting 2nd
- Manager lineup cost +0.00 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.19 vs actual lineup 3.18
- Player execution −0.18 R/G Players fell 0.18 short of the lineup's 3.18 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −0.19 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
Optimal lineups projected 3.3 – 3.2 — actual was 1 – 3.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.