Milwaukee Brewers vs Detroit Tigers
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Brice Turang 2B
- 2 William Contreras C
- 3 Jake Bauers 1B
- 4 Gary Sánchez DH
- 5 Garrett Mitchell CF
- 6 Luis Rengifo 3B
- 7 Sal Frelick RF
- 8 David Hamilton SS
- 9 Blake Perkins LF
- 1 Jahmai Jones DH
- 2 Gleyber Torres 2B
- 3 Kevin McGonigle SS
- 4 Matt Vierling RF
- 5 Dillon Dingler C
- 6 Riley Greene LF
- 7 Spencer Torkelson 1B
- 8 Hao-Yu Lee 3B
- 9 Javier Báez CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 12 |
| DET | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B- / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-2 with MIL listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.70 vs actual lineup 3.73
- Player execution +8.27 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.73 projection by 8.27 (scored 12)
- Game variance +8.30 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Hamilton 4-for-5 from the 8-hole
- Manager lineup cost −0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.80 vs actual lineup 2.83
- Player execution +1.17 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 2.83 projection by 1.17 (scored 4)
- Game variance +1.20 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Carpenter 0-for-3 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 3.7 – 2.8 — actual was 12 – 4.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.