Toronto Blue Jays vs Los Angeles Angels
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Nathan Lukes LF
- 2 Ernie Clement 2B
- 3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B
- 4 Jesús Sánchez RF
- 5 Eloy Jiménez DH
- 6 Daulton Varsho CF
- 7 Kazuma Okamoto 3B
- 8 Andrés Giménez SS
- 9 Brandon Valenzuela C
- 1 Zach Neto SS
- 2 Mike Trout CF
- 3 Jo Adell RF
- 4 Jorge Soler DH
- 5 Oswald Peraza 3B
- 6 Nolan Schanuel 1B
- 7 Vaughn Grissom 2B
- 8 Logan O'Hoppe C
- 9 Bryce Teodosio LF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| LAA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 3-1 with TOR listed first across 4 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.36 vs actual lineup 3.39
- Player execution +0.61 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.39 projection by 0.61 (scored 4)
- Game variance +0.64 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
- Manager lineup cost +0.10 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.81 vs actual lineup 3.71
- Player execution −1.71 R/G Players fell 1.71 short of the lineup's 3.71 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −1.81 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Neto 0-for-4 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 3.4 – 3.8 — actual was 4 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.