Oakland Athletics vs Seattle Mariners
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Nick Kurtz 1B
- 2 Shea Langeliers C
- 3 Carlos Cortes DH
- 4 Tyler Soderstrom LF
- 5 Jacob Wilson SS
- 6 Jeff McNeil 2B
- 7 Max Muncy 3B
- 8 Lawrence Butler RF
- 9 Zack Gelof CF
- 1 Rob Refsnyder RF
- 2 Cal Raleigh DH
- 3 Julio Rodríguez CF
- 4 Josh Naylor 1B
- 5 Randy Arozarena LF
- 6 J.P. Crawford SS
- 7 Mitch Garver C
- 8 Cole Young 2B
- 9 Leo Rivas 3B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATH | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| SEA | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-1 with ATH listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.09 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 5.04 vs actual lineup 4.96
- Player execution +0.04 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.96 projection by 0.04 (scored 5)
- Game variance −0.04 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Muncy 2-for-5 from the 7-hole
- Manager lineup cost +0.00 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.93 vs actual lineup 4.93
- Player execution −2.92 R/G Players fell 2.92 short of the lineup's 4.93 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −2.93 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
Optimal lineups projected 5.0 – 4.9 — actual was 5 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.