Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Carlos Correa SS
- 2 Yordan Alvarez DH
- 3 Jose Altuve 2B
- 4 Christian Walker 1B
- 5 Isaac Paredes 3B
- 6 Cam Smith RF
- 7 Yainer Diaz C
- 8 Brice Matthews CF
- 9 Dustin Harris LF
- 1 Steven Kwan CF
- 2 Chase DeLauter DH
- 3 José Ramírez 3B
- 4 Kyle Manzardo 1B
- 5 George Valera RF
- 6 Daniel Schneemann 2B
- 7 Angel Martínez LF
- 8 Austin Hedges C
- 9 Brayan Rocchio SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| CLE | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 8 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade D+ / C+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-1 with HOU listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.44 vs actual lineup 2.45
- Player execution +2.55 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 2.45 projection by 2.55 (scored 5)
- Game variance +2.56 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Altuve 0-for-5 batting 3rd
- Manager lineup cost −0.19 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.66 vs actual lineup 4.84
- Player execution +3.16 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.84 projection by 3.16 (scored 8)
- Game variance +3.34 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Martínez HR from the 7-hole
Optimal lineups projected 2.4 – 4.7 — actual was 5 – 8.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.