Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Kevin McGonigle SS
- 2 Gleyber Torres 2B
- 3 Colt Keith 1B
- 4 Riley Greene LF
- 5 Dillon Dingler DH
- 6 Kerry Carpenter RF
- 7 Matt Vierling CF
- 8 Hao-Yu Lee 3B
- 9 Jake Rogers C
- 1 Roman Anthony LF
- 2 Willson Contreras 1B
- 3 Wilyer Abreu RF
- 4 Masataka Yoshida DH
- 5 Trevor Story SS
- 6 Jarren Duran CF
- 7 Caleb Durbin 3B
- 8 Marcelo Mayer 2B
- 9 Carlos Narváez C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| BOS | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-5 with DET listed first across 7 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.13 vs actual lineup 4.14
- Player execution +1.86 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.14 projection by 1.86 (scored 6)
- Game variance +1.87 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lee 2-for-4 from the 8-hole
- Manager lineup cost +0.16 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.88 vs actual lineup 4.73
- Player execution +3.27 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.73 projection by 3.27 (scored 8)
- Game variance +3.12 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Abreu 0-for-4 batting 3rd
Optimal lineups projected 4.1 – 4.9 — actual was 6 – 8.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.