Los Angeles Dodgers vs Colorado Rockies
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Shohei Ohtani DH
- 2 Alex Call RF
- 3 Will Smith C
- 4 Teoscar Hernández LF
- 5 Andy Pages CF
- 6 Max Muncy 3B
- 7 Miguel Rojas SS
- 8 Santiago Espinal 2B
- 9 Dalton Rushing 1B
- 1 Jordan Beck LF
- 2 Brenton Doyle CF
- 3 Hunter Goodman DH
- 4 Tyler Freeman RF
- 5 Ezequiel Tovar SS
- 6 Troy Johnston 1B
- 7 Willi Castro 2B
- 8 Kyle Karros 3B
- 9 Brett Sullivan C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 |
| COL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-2 with LAD listed first across 4 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.55 vs actual lineup 4.55
- Player execution +7.45 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.55 projection by 7.45 (scored 12)
- Game variance +7.45 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Rushing HR from the 9-hole
- Manager lineup cost +0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.37 vs actual lineup 2.34
- Player execution +0.66 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 2.34 projection by 0.66 (scored 3)
- Game variance +0.63 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Goodman 0-for-5 batting 3rd
Optimal lineups projected 4.5 – 2.4 — actual was 12 – 3.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.