Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Carlos Correa SS
- 2 Yordan Alvarez DH
- 3 Jose Altuve 2B
- 4 Christian Walker 1B
- 5 Isaac Paredes 3B
- 6 Taylor Trammell CF
- 7 Yainer Diaz C
- 8 Dustin Harris RF
- 9 Brice Matthews LF
- 1 Steven Kwan CF
- 2 Chase DeLauter RF
- 3 José Ramírez 3B
- 4 Kyle Manzardo 1B
- 5 Rhys Hoskins DH
- 6 George Valera LF
- 7 Juan Brito 2B
- 8 Bo Naylor C
- 9 Brayan Rocchio SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
| CLE | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade D+ / C+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-1 with HOU listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.09 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.82 vs actual lineup 4.91
- Player execution +4.09 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.91 projection by 4.09 (scored 9)
- Game variance +4.18 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Altuve 0-for-5 batting 3rd
- Manager lineup cost −0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.45 vs actual lineup 2.46
- Player execution −0.46 R/G Players fell 0.46 short of the lineup's 2.46 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −0.45 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Kwan 0-for-4 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 4.8 – 2.5 — actual was 9 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.