Kansas City Royals vs New York Yankees
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Maikel Garcia 3B
- 2 Bobby Witt SS
- 3 Vinnie Pasquantino 1B
- 4 Salvador Perez DH
- 5 Lane Thomas CF
- 6 Starling Marte RF
- 7 Isaac Collins LF
- 8 Michael Massey 2B
- 9 Elias Díaz C
- 1 Ben Rice DH
- 2 Aaron Judge RF
- 3 Cody Bellinger LF
- 4 Paul Goldschmidt 1B
- 5 Trent Grisham CF
- 6 Amed Rosario 2B
- 7 Austin Wells C
- 8 José Caballero SS
- 9 Ryan McMahon 3B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| NYY | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / C+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 0-3 with KC listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.10 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.46 vs actual lineup 3.36
- Player execution −3.36 R/G Players fell 3.36 short of the lineup's 3.36 projection (scored 0)
- Game variance −3.46 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Garcia 0-for-4 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost +0.05 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.56 vs actual lineup 4.51
- Player execution +2.49 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.51 projection by 2.49 (scored 7)
- Game variance +2.44 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Goldschmidt 0-for-4 batting 4th
Optimal lineups projected 3.5 – 4.6 — actual was 0 – 7.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.