Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Brandon Nimmo RF
- 2 Corey Seager SS
- 3 Wyatt Langford LF
- 4 Jake Burger 1B
- 5 Joc Pederson DH
- 6 Josh Jung 3B
- 7 Evan Carter CF
- 8 Josh Smith 2B
- 9 Danny Jansen C
- 1 Rob Refsnyder RF
- 2 Cal Raleigh DH
- 3 Julio Rodríguez CF
- 4 Randy Arozarena LF
- 5 Mitch Garver C
- 6 Connor Joe 1B
- 7 J.P. Crawford SS
- 8 Cole Young 2B
- 9 Leo Rivas 3B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| SEA | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B- / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-2 with TEX listed first across 4 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.75 vs actual lineup 3.78
- Player execution −1.78 R/G Players fell 1.78 short of the lineup's 3.78 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −1.75 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Seager 0-for-3 batting 2nd
- Manager lineup cost +0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.16 vs actual lineup 4.12
- Player execution +0.88 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.12 projection by 0.88 (scored 5)
- Game variance +0.84 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Crawford HR from the 7-hole
Optimal lineups projected 3.8 – 4.2 — actual was 2 – 5.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.