San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Angels
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Ramón Laureano LF
- 2 Fernando Tatis Jr. 2B
- 3 Jackson Merrill CF
- 4 Manny Machado 3B
- 5 Xander Bogaerts SS
- 6 Gavin Sheets 1B
- 7 Miguel Andujar DH
- 8 Luis Campusano C
- 9 Bryce Johnson RF
- 1 Zach Neto SS
- 2 Mike Trout CF
- 3 Nolan Schanuel 1B
- 4 Jorge Soler DH
- 5 Yoán Moncada 3B
- 6 Jo Adell RF
- 7 Josh Lowe LF
- 8 Travis d'Arnaud C
- 9 Adam Frazier 2B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| LAA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-1 with SD listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.31 vs actual lineup 4.29
- Player execution −2.29 R/G Players fell 2.29 short of the lineup's 4.29 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −2.31 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Laureano 0-for-4 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost −0.06 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.74 vs actual lineup 2.80
- Player execution −1.80 R/G Players fell 1.80 short of the lineup's 2.80 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −1.74 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Schanuel 0-for-3 batting 3rd
Optimal lineups projected 4.3 – 2.7 — actual was 2 – 1.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.