Los Angeles Dodgers vs Colorado Rockies
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Shohei Ohtani DH
- 2 Kyle Tucker RF
- 3 Will Smith C
- 4 Max Muncy 3B
- 5 Andy Pages CF
- 6 Alex Call LF
- 7 Ryan Ward 1B
- 8 Hyeseong Kim SS
- 9 Alex Freeland 2B
- 1 Edouard Julien 2B
- 2 Mickey Moniak LF
- 3 Hunter Goodman C
- 4 Tyler Freeman DH
- 5 TJ Rumfield 1B
- 6 Troy Johnston RF
- 7 Willi Castro SS
- 8 Kyle Karros 3B
- 9 Jake McCarthy CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| COL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-2 with LAD listed first across 4 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.20 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.96 vs actual lineup 5.16
- Player execution +0.84 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 5.16 projection by 0.84 (scored 6)
- Game variance +1.04 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Ward 2-for-5 from the 7-hole
- Manager lineup cost +0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.73 vs actual lineup 4.71
- Player execution +4.29 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.71 projection by 4.29 (scored 9)
- Game variance +4.27 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Karros HR from the 8-hole
Optimal lineups projected 5.0 – 4.7 — actual was 6 – 9.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.